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COMMON DRAWS

Post flop, it will be the number of unseen cards that could improve a hand (outs), which would determine the probability of improvement on the turn or river. For instance, if you were to have an open-ended straight draw, eight cards will be out that will improve your hand to a straight (four of each rank on each end). With two cards to come, you would have a 31.5 percent chance of making the straight,but with one card to come, the chance would drop to 17.4 percent. You will find below a tabulation of common draws and the chances of improvement.

Knowing these probabilities will be essential for computing the pot odds when betting on the turn and river cards. For situations not listed above, you should count the number of outs to make the hand and you should read the percentage next to the number of outs.

Probabilities for Improving a Hand

Probabilities in Percentages for Improving a Hand After the Flop

Situation

Improve to

Outs

Two cards to come

One card to come

Open ended SFD

Straight or flush

15

54.1

32.6

Inside straight

Straight or one pair

10

38.4

21.7

Four flush

Flush

9

35.0

19.6

Open ended straight draw

Straight

8

31.5

17.4

Three of kind

Full House

7

27.8

15.2

Unmatched pocket cards

Pair one

6

24.1

13.0

One matched pocket card

Two pair or Three of kind

5

20.4

10.9

Two pair

Full House

4

16.5

8.7

Inside Straight

Straight

4

16.5

8.7

One matched pocket card

Two pair

3

12.5

6.5

Pocket pair

Three of kind

2

8.4

4.3

Three of kind

Four of kind

1

4.3

2.2